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Trading

Trading Strategies

Proven trading strategies — how they work, when they work, and the discipline required to execute them.

A trading strategy is a systematic approach to entering and exiting trades based on defined rules. Successful traders do not wing it — they have explicit entry criteria, exit rules, position sizing formulas, and maximum risk parameters. Without a defined strategy, trading becomes gambling.

Trend Following

The most time-tested trading strategy: trade in the direction of the prevailing trend.

  • Logic: Trends persist — buy high and sell higher; sell short low and cover lower
  • Entry signals: Price above 200-day EMA (bullish); pullbacks to 20/50 EMA as entry points
  • Exit: When trend reverses; when price crosses below the trailing moving average
  • Best markets: Trending markets (indices during bull runs, commodity trends)
  • Weakness: Whipsaws and losses in sideways/ranging markets

Breakout Trading

Entering when price breaks out of a consolidation range or key resistance/support level on high volume.

  • Setup: Identify tight consolidation range (triangle, rectangle, flag pattern)
  • Entry: Buy the first close above resistance; sell short the first close below support
  • Volume confirmation is critical — breakouts on low volume fail frequently (false breakouts)
  • Stop loss: Below the breakout level; tight and well-defined risk
  • Reward: Breakouts often lead to sustained moves equal to the base pattern height

Mean Reversion

Prices revert to their average over time. This strategy sells extreme up moves and buys extreme down moves.

  • Basis: Most stocks and indices oscillate around a mean — extreme deviations self-correct
  • Signals: RSI below 30 (oversold buy) or above 70 (overbought short); Bollinger Band extremes
  • Works best: Range-bound, sideways markets and sectors
  • Risk: Mean reversion fails spectacularly in strong trends — a stock can go from "overbought" to much higher
  • Risk management: Strict stop losses are essential — the mean can shift

Momentum Trading

Stocks that have performed strongly recently tend to continue outperforming in the short term.

  • Logic: Institutional money flows into winners — momentum persists
  • India: NSE 52-week high/low breakout strategies with volume
  • US: Relative strength momentum — buy top quartile performers of S&P 500 vs the index
  • Caution: Momentum reverses violently — tight risk management and defined exits are essential
  • Timeframe: Works best on weekly and monthly timeframes; shorter timeframes add noise

💡 Pro Tip: Focus on one strategy until you have 100+ trades of track record before adding another. Strategy-hopping is the surest path to consistent losses.

Key Takeaways

  • Every successful trading strategy has defined entry rules, exit rules, and risk parameters
  • No strategy works 100% of the time — a 50-60% win rate with good risk:reward is excellent
  • Position sizing (risking 1% of capital per trade) determines long-term survival
  • Backtest any strategy on historical data before trading it live
  • The best strategy is one you can execute consistently with discipline

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